Friday, February 27, 2015

ESThunder Performance Notes

ESThunder performance curve has a certain shape due to the fact that it is a play on Wing Fulcrums    Wing Fulcrums are
1) spots where big moves can happen there;
2) but sometimes these Wing Fulcrums turn into zones of pain - compression zones with weak or no trends.  But after some time the market roars out of that zone, extremely explosive.  

ESThunder in keeping the philosophy that over complication for automation is never a good thing, tries to keep things as simple as possible aggressively entering every Wing Fulcrum opportunity betting that because the market never does any one thing always but will sometimes take off from Wing Fulcrums but other times markets will simply revolve "meaninglessly" around the Fulcrum actually not that meaningless because incredible energy is being built there for subsequent explosive action

This underlying fact about Wing Fulcrums theory leads to an expected performance graph that is sort of like an inverted "Z"   Moving horizontally and then vertically; currently as of 02/26 very clearly ESThunder is an a horizontal mode - and not surprisingly one notices the market in the past week consolidating around the current Fulcrum 2107.25 - so absolutely ESThunder would be losing money here.    ESThunder performance actually sort of mirrors the underlying market conditions and just as one might expect that night follows day ESThunder will at some stage in the future move vertically with the market - because the market itself moves vertically or horizontally.   Thus ESThunder performance graph can by itself serve as a trading indicator is rather remarkable and next generation systems may try to create "meta-systems" that take guidance from whether ESThunder is making or losing money.  

For folks who want to this type of deep sychrony with the market ESThunder is a good bet but requires a bit of patience to sit through the "horizontal phase"   Anyways so goes the theory, have a great weekend folks











        

Wednesday, February 25, 2015

Systems Commentary for February 25th 2015 - 9:30 PM EST

Big picture ES EMINI Market - the daily chart with the powerful chaos-levels indicator and the 4-chaos-hounds lines indicator looks as below- the trajectory of motion shaping up near term up and an inevitable big down-trend around the corner around the time when the chaos-hounds white line approaches the chaos-hounds purple line (arrows illustrate) 




Zooming into Near Term Market Action
 
ESTHUNDER- is based on the Chaos Wings Fulcrum indicator    A beautiful entry right on top of the Wing level 2107, and market did not break below the Wing today, though touched it, this type of action is common with the Chaos Wings.   Also the Central Fulcrum the price action is far away from there and so there would be no chance of ESLIGHTNING fireworks today


  
ESBREEZE - Captured a couple of points yesterday, closing at session end, but took a hit today; sometimes ESBREEZE enters uncannily in the exact opposite direction of a win.  If only one could anticipate the Chaos Wave perfectly would be the holy grail (sigh)




CLBREEZE - entered with a good looking Chaos Wave pattern but exited with a few ticks loss dove-tailing with its guiding Wave termination, and it ignored subsequent major wave.  Note how extraordinarily early the Chaos Wave signals the trend is incredible, shows that the classical distinction between congestion/trend is confused because clearly major trends start well within so called congested areas